Will It Tie the All-Time Sizzling 100 Document?

The Contenders is a midweek column that appears at artists aiming for the highest of the Billboard charts, and the methods in the back of their efforts. This week, for the impending Billboard Sizzling 100 dated Nov. 30, we take a look at whether or not the longest-running No. 1 of 2024 is set to tie the checklist the longest-running No. 1 of all-time.  

Shaboozey, “A Bar Tune (Tipsy)” (American Dogwood/EMPIRE/Magnolia Track):  It’s commencement week for “A Bar Tune” at the Billboard Sizzling 100 this week, as its reign on most sensible turns 18. The music is lately additionally trending towards a seventeenth week at No. 1 on Radio Songs – whilst this previous week, it logged its fifteenth week atop the charts concurrently, a brand new checklist for the longest such double-up since Radio Songs started in 1990, passing Mariah Carey’s “We Belong In combination.” It has additionally been most sensible 10 at the Virtual Tune Gross sales chart frequently since past due April and Streaming Songs since Would possibly; it’s been most sensible 10 on all 3 Sizzling 100 element charts, together with Radio Songs, at the same time as every week since past due June. 

Is there any explanation why to assume it’s due for any large falls or rises sooner than subsequent week, the place it is going for its all-time record-tying nineteenth week at No. 1 – doubtlessly matching Lil Nas X’s Billy Ray Cyrus-featuring “Outdated The town Highway” from 5 years previous? Neatly, it slid extra (despite the fact that now not an amazing quantity) this week in each streaming and radio airplay, despite the fact that its gross sales have been up 16%. The music’s general momentum going into subsequent week would possibly rely on this night’s (Nov. 20) CMA Awards, the place Shaboozey is each a scheduled performer and a nominee in unmarried of the yr (for “Bar Tune”) and perfect new artist.  

With a large, consumption-driving night time on the CMAs this night (and with subsequent week’s charts reflecting intake for the monitoring week finishing Thursday), the timing could be proper subsequent week for Shaboozey to etch his title within the Billboard historical past books.  

Girl Gaga & Bruno Mars, “Die With a Smile” (Streamline/Interscope/Atlantic/ICLG): Regardless of being a complete 3 months into its lifespan at this level, “Die With a Smile” remains to be gaining chart momentum, because it hits the Radio Songs most sensible 5 and No. 1 on Pop Airplay — Gaga‘s first time achieving the ones heights since 2011. The music’s streaming seems to be to be rather even with remaining week, and it’s lately discounted to 69 cents on iTunes – as is “A Bar Tune” — so it must be a sexy shut struggle subsequent week at the Sizzling 100 between the 2. If Shaboozey does get a CMAs bump, can Gaga and Bruno and their respective groups have the option sooner than Friday to get their music just a little additional juice? Those questions would possibly resolve the winner in what must be an excessively intently monitored Sizzling 100 race subsequent week.  

Gracie Abrams, “That’s So True” (Interscope/ICLG): After topping Streaming Songs and hitting the Sizzling 100’s most sensible 10 for the primary time this week, “That’s So True” has develop into the primary in reality plain damage of Gracie Abrams’ occupation. The music’s streaming expansion appears to be slowing this week — so it is probably not difficult for No. 1 once subsequent week – but it surely’s gotten sufficiently big that Abrams’ Interscope label has began to shift its radio promotional efforts (in the past taken with “With reference to You” and “I Love You, I’m Sorry”) to it. If radio begins to select up on “True” the way in which streaming has, there’s most probably no ceiling on how prime the music can proceed to climb for the remainder of 2024 and into 2025.  

Mariah Carey, “All I Need for Christmas Is You” (Columbia/Legacy): As the elements cools down, Mariah Carey simply begins getting more potent. “All I Need for Christmas Is You” is beginning to get its standard seasonal airplay, and jumps from 34 to 21 in this week’s Streaming Songs chart — the highest-ranking vacation access — and must proceed hiking in leaps and limits within the weeks to return. “All I Need” may rechart at the Sizzling 100 — possibly even within the most sensible 10 — once subsequent week, and from then it’s just a topic of time sooner than it turns into the frontrunner to reign once more all over the vacation season, for the 6th calendar yr in a row. And if it does… it’s already racked up 14 weeks general at No. 1, so it is probably not lengthy till it will get within the all-time checklist dialog with Lil Nas X and Billy Ray Cyrus (and shortly sufficient, in all probability Shaboozey).