S&P 500 & Nasdaq futures positioning ‘nonetheless firmly in prolonged territory’

loader.my.id — Citi analysts cautioned that U.S. fairness markets “stay prolonged and bullish,” even after contemporary declines following the Federal Reserve’s extra wary stance on 2025 price cuts. 

Of their newest Fairness Markets Positioning Fashion notice, Citi notes that “S&P 500 (+3.1) and Nasdaq (+4.0) futures positioning ranges marginally eased however are nonetheless firmly in prolonged territory.”

Regardless of a slight uptick briefly positioning final week, the analysts spotlight that this shift has no longer considerably altered the sturdy bullish sentiment round those indexes. 

“The full internet have an effect on used to be restricted,” they write, pointing to the sustained optimism in U.S. equities in comparison to different areas.

In the meantime, the record flags a stark divergence in international markets. Ecu equities are stated to be more and more bearish, with “constant and incremental emerging bearish flows” throughout indexes, together with EuroStoxx, the place positioning grew to become somewhat bearish. Equivalent tendencies had been seen in exchange-traded fund (ETF) flows, indicating waning investor self assurance within the area.

In Asia, Citi notes that positioning stays fairly impartial however with a discernible bearish shift. For and , the decline seems to be pushed no longer most effective through emerging quick positions but in addition through an “unwind of longs into year-end.”

Whilst U.S. fairness markets show resilience, the analysts warn that problem dangers stay for smaller-cap benchmarks just like the , the place positioning is impartial however lengthy losses are mounting.

The record concludes that the desire for U.S. equities “gave the impression glaring,” bringing up prolonged bearish sentiment in MSCI Advanced Markets ex-U.S., the place quick positioning has climbed to a three-year prime.